2008 Fall MATH 288-01

Bulletin Course Description
Probability tools and theory, geared towards topics of current research interest. Possible additional Instructor: Staff
(Instructor named in bulletin description above may not be current. For current instructor, see listing below.)

Title TOPICS IN PROBABILITY
Department MATH
Course Number2008 Fall 288
Section Number 01
Primary Instructor Huber,Mark
Prerequisites prerequisites based on course content in a particular semester. Prerequisites: Mathematics 135 or equivalent, and consent of instructor.
Course Homepage courses.duke.edu


Synopsis of course content
Efficient Monte Carlo Methodology

Monte Carlo methods have proven an enormously valuable tool over the last 60 years for statisticians finding p-values, physicists modeling complex systems, computer scientists approximating #P-complete problems, Bayesian analysts learning about posterior distributions, material sciences, genetic analysis and other areas. This course will cover two classes of methods for building Monte Carlo methods. The first is Markov chain Monte Carlo. The three major types of Markov chains: Metropolis-Hastings, Gibbs/slice sampling, and auxilliary/latent variable chains will be described, applied to applications, and when possible analyzed to determine their effectiveness. The second class of methods are perfect sampling methods. The major types of methods here are acceptance/rejection, coupling from the past, popping, the randomness recycler, and partial recursion acceptance/rejection. The class will be roughly 50/50 applications and theory.
Textbooks
none
Assignments
There will be weekly homework assignments with a mix of applications and theory.
Exams
There are no exams for this course.
Grade to be based on
Entirely on the homework.



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